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The World Ahead | Business in 2024

Can hi-tech supply chains binding China and America be untangled?

De-risking is a boon for China’s neighbours

An entanglement of conveyor belts carrying computer chips and other technology
Image: Mariano Pascual

By Mike Bird

Gwyneth Paltrow introduced the world to the concept of “conscious uncoupling” in 2014 during her divorce from Chris Martin. Much mockery ensued. But in 2024 it is not an actress and a rock star who want to gently step back from an interdependent relationship. America and China now face that challenge, as relations become increasingly chilly.

The most common term for it is “decoupling”, though the American government prefers “de-risking”, and applies it narrowly, to a few areas of advanced manufacturing. But whatever you call it, the difficulties in making a separation work are clear.

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This article appeared in the Business section of the print edition of The World Ahead 2024 under the headline “Conscious decoupling”

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